Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://ptsldigital.ukm.my/jspui/handle/123456789/578896
Title: Performance of variance targeting estimator (vte) under misspecified error distribution assumption
Authors: Abdul Rahim M. A (UITM)
Zahari S. M (UITM)
Shariff S. S. R (UITM)
Keywords: GARCH
Variance targeting
Parameter estimation
Error distribution
Issue Date: Apr-2017
Description: Parameter estimation in Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedastic (GARCH) model has received much attention in the literature. Commonly used quasi maximum likelihood estimator (QMLE) may not be suitable if the model is misspecified. Alternatively, we can consider using variance targeting estimator (VTE) as it seems to be a better fit for misspecified initial parameters. This paper extends the application to see how both QMLE and VTE perform under error distribution misspecifications. Data are simulated under two error distribution conditions: one is to have a true normal error distribution and the other is to have a true student-t error distribution with degree of freedom equals to 3. The error distribution assumption that has been selected for this study are: normal distribution, student-t distribution, skewed normal distribution and skewed student-t. In addition, this study also includes the effect of initial parameter specification. The analyses are divided into two case designs. Case 1 is when to represent the well specified initial parameters while Case 2 is when to represent misspecified initial parameters. The results show that both QMLE and VTE estimator performances for misspecified initial parameters may not improve in well specified error distribution assumptions. Nevertheless, VTE shows a favourable performance compared to QMLE when the error distribution assumption is not the same as true underlying error distribution.
News Source: Pertanika Journals
ISSN: 0128-7680
Volume: 25
Pages: 607-618
Publisher: Universiti Putra Malaysia Press
Appears in Collections:Journal Content Pages/ Kandungan Halaman Jurnal

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