Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://ptsldigital.ukm.my/jspui/handle/123456789/577578
Title: Stock return, currency and general elections
Authors: Tze San Ong (UPM)
Wei Ni Soh
Boon Heng Teh
Sin Huei Ng
Keywords: General election
Stock return
Currency
Mediation effect
Issue Date: Sep-2015
Description: The association between political elections and stock market performance for Malaysia market is discussed in this paper. This study aims to investigate the impact of General Elections in Malaysia on stock market indices. To provide additional support of the impact of general elections on stock returns through other channels, currency changes were also included in this study so as to discover the mediation effect of the exchange rate on the relationship between general elections and stock returns. Since the exchange rate does, to some extent, influence stock return, the relationship between exchange rates and stock returns during different stages of a general election cannot be overlooked. The results showed that currency change is negatively related with stock returns in pre-election and post-election stages, but it is not significant during the election period. The impact of currency on stock return exists as a mediation effect during election period. In a nutshell, the currency change directly impacts stock return with a negative influence. However,the direct relationship between currency and stock return disappears during the electionweek. Thus, stock return is affected by currency change indirectly.
News Source: Pertanika Journal of Social Sciences & Humanities
ISSN: 0128-770
Volume: 22
Pages: 237-250
Publisher: Universiti Putra Malaysia Press
URI: https://ptsldigital.ukm.my/jspui/handle/123456789/577578
Appears in Collections:Journal Content Pages/ Kandungan Halaman Jurnal

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